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Insight of the Day: World headed for ‘food wars’, warns major commodities trader


  • Geopolitical tensions and climate change are pushing the world towards potential "food wars" over dwindling supplies.

  • Trade barriers imposed by governments to protect domestic food stocks have exacerbated food inflation.

  • Wealthier countries are stockpiling food, worsening global supply imbalances and driving up prices.

  • The Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war significantly impacted food prices and supply chains.

  • Protectionist policies, such as export bans and restrictions, have been implemented by several countries, further disrupting global food supplies.

Key Takeaway: Conflicts over food and water supplies could become more prevalent than historical conflicts over oil due to increasing geopolitical tensions and climate change impacts on agriculture.


  • Increased government intervention and protectionist policies in response to food supply insecurities.

  • Wealthier nations building up food surpluses, leading to inflated demand and higher prices.

  • Heightened food inflation driven by both geopolitical events and environmental challenges.

Consumers Addressed:

  • The article primarily addresses global consumers who are affected by rising food prices and potential supply shortages.

  • It also targets industry executives and policymakers involved in the food and agricultural sectors.


  • Government interventions, while intended to protect domestic markets, are contributing to global food inflation and supply imbalances.

  • Climate change is a critical factor exacerbating food production challenges, requiring urgent action from both governments and industries.

Implications for Brands:

  • Food and agribusiness companies need to navigate the complexities of geopolitical tensions and trade barriers.

  • Brands must consider the impact of climate change on their supply chains and invest in sustainable practices.

  • Companies may face increased scrutiny and the need for transparency regarding their pricing and supply strategies.

Implications for Society:

  • Rising food prices and supply shortages could lead to increased food insecurity, particularly in poorer countries.

  • Potential conflicts over food and water resources could emerge, affecting global stability.

  • There is a pressing need for coordinated global action on climate change to mitigate its impact on food production and supply.

Overall, the article highlights the urgent need for proactive measures to address the intertwined challenges of geopolitical tensions, climate change, and food security to avoid escalating conflicts and ensure stable food supplies for all.


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