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Beverages: Non-alcoholic wine moves from niche to mainstream in global market shift

Why it is the topic trending:

  • Significant Transformation in the Wine Industry: The global wine industry is experiencing a major shift with the rapid growth of the non-alcoholic and low-alcohol (NOLO) wine segment, indicating a fundamental change in the market.

  • Evolving Consumer Behavior: This growth reflects changes in how consumers are approaching alcohol, influenced by a greater focus on health-conscious lifestyles, responsible drinking habits, and shifting cultural attitudes towards alcohol consumption.

  • Transition from Niche to Mainstream: What was once a small, specialized market has now become a substantial sector with consistent and promising long-term growth potential within the broader wine industry.

  • Substantial Market Growth and Forecasts: The global non-alcoholic wine market has reached significant revenue levels, with projections indicating strong compound annual growth rates over the next decade, highlighting the increasing consumer demand and market potential.

Overview: The global wine industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the rapid expansion of the non-alcoholic and low-alcohol (NOLO) wine segment. This shift is a direct result of evolving consumer preferences towards healthier lifestyles and responsible drinking. Once considered a niche market, NOLO wines have now entered the mainstream, demonstrating consistent growth potential and attracting substantial investment. The technological advancements in production methods to remove alcohol while preserving flavor, coupled with changing demographics and increasing availability in retail and on-premise locations, underscore the growing importance of this sector within the global wine market.

Detailed Findings:

  • Significant Market Valuation: Estimates for the global non-alcoholic wine market in 2023 ranged from $1.18 billion to $2.26 billion, highlighting the already substantial size of the market.

  • Strong Growth Projections: Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) projections for the NOLO wine market over the next decade range from 7.9% to as high as 23.5%, indicating rapid expansion.

  • Consistent Growth Forecast: IWSR forecasts a 5% CAGR through 2028 in key markets for non-alcoholic wines, confirming steady and continued growth.

  • Technological Advancements in Production: Technologies like reverse osmosis and vacuum distillation (including spinning cone columns) are being used to remove alcohol while preserving the wine's aromatic profile.

  • Financial Investment in Production: These dealcoholization processes require significant financial investment, contributing to the potentially higher cost of NOLO wines.

  • Preventive Vineyard Practices: Techniques such as early harvesting, selective yeast use, and late pruning are employed to naturally reduce alcohol levels in the base wine.

  • Importance of High-Quality Base Wine: Producers emphasize the need for a high-quality base wine as the dealcoholization process can strip some body and aroma.

  • Key Demographic Drivers: Millennials and Gen Z consumers are the most active demographics in the NOLO wine category, driven by health, wellness, and social inclusivity.

  • Regional Market Leadership: North America currently leads the market in NOLO wine revenue, while Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region.

  • Popularity of Sparkling NOLO Wines: Non-alcoholic sparkling wines are currently the most popular within the segment, particularly in Europe.

  • Growing Prominence of Still NOLO Wines: Still non-alcoholic wines are expected to become more popular as alternatives for everyday drinking.

  • Off-Trade Focus with Growing On-Trade Interest: NOLO wine distribution is primarily through supermarkets, specialty retailers, and e-commerce, but interest is increasing in restaurants and bars.

  • Regulatory Challenges: Inconsistent definitions, labeling laws, and alcohol content thresholds across countries pose obstacles to international trade.

  • Evolving Packaging Trends: While glass bottles remain dominant, alternative formats like cans are gaining popularity, appealing to younger consumers and sustainability concerns.

  • Premiumization Trend: High-end non-alcoholic wines are being marketed at prices comparable to premium traditional wines, driven by improved quality and recognizable varietals.

  • Strategic Moves by Large Beverage Companies: Major companies like Moët Hennessy, Diageo, and Freixenet are entering the NOLO sector through launches or investments.

  • Emergence of Boutique NOLO Wineries: A growing number of smaller wineries are focusing on innovation and quality in the non-alcoholic wine space.

  • Consumer Education Challenges: Educating consumers about the production costs and value of NOLO wines remains a challenge due to expectations of lower prices compared to alcoholic wines.

Key success factors of product (trend):

  • Meeting Health and Wellness Trends: NOLO wines align with the increasing consumer focus on healthier lifestyles and reduced alcohol consumption.

  • Providing Socially Inclusive Options: They offer beverages that can be enjoyed in various settings without the effects of alcohol, promoting inclusivity.

  • Improving Sensory Quality: Advancements in production technology are leading to higher-quality NOLO wines that better retain the flavor profiles of traditional wines.

  • Catering to Younger Demographics: NOLO wines appeal strongly to Millennials and Gen Z consumers who are more mindful of their alcohol consumption.

  • Growing Availability and Distribution: Increasing presence in supermarkets, specialty stores, e-commerce, and even restaurants and bars enhances accessibility.

Key Takeaway: The non-alcoholic wine market is rapidly evolving from a niche category to a significant and growing segment within the global wine industry, driven by health-conscious consumers, technological advancements in production, and strategic investments from major beverage companies.

Main Trend: The Mainstreaming of Non-Alcoholic and Low-Alcohol Wine.

Description: From Sideline to Spotlight: The Ascent of NOLO Wine describes the significant shift in the global wine industry where non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wines are transitioning from niche products to mainstream beverages. This trend is characterized by substantial market growth, increasing consumer demand driven by health and wellness trends, advancements in production technologies that enhance quality, and growing acceptance in both retail and social settings. The once-limited category is now becoming an integral part of the wine market, attracting investment and innovation from both established and emerging producers.

What is consumer motivation:

  • Prioritizing Health and Wellness: Many consumers are motivated by a desire to reduce their alcohol intake for health reasons.

  • Seeking Responsible Drinking Habits: NOLO wines allow consumers to enjoy the taste and social aspects of wine while maintaining responsible alcohol consumption levels.

  • Desire for Social Inclusivity: These options enable non-drinkers or those choosing to abstain to participate more fully in social occasions where wine is typically served.

  • Curiosity and Exploration: Consumers are increasingly curious about trying new and innovative beverages, including non-alcoholic alternatives.

  • Enjoying Wine Without the Effects of Alcohol: NOLO wines provide the flavor profile of wine without the intoxicating effects, catering to specific preferences and situations.

What is driving trend:

  • Growing Health Consciousness: Increased awareness of the potential negative impacts of alcohol on health is a major driver.

  • Changing Cultural Attitudes Towards Alcohol: There is a noticeable shift in some cultures towards more moderate alcohol consumption.

  • Innovation in Production Technology: Advancements in dealcoholization techniques have significantly improved the quality and taste of NOLO wines.

  • Strategic Investments by Major Beverage Companies: The entry and investment of large players validate the market and drive further development and distribution.

  • Influence of Younger Generations: Millennials and Gen Z are driving demand for NOLO options due to their focus on wellness and moderation.

What is motivation beyond the trend:

  • Pregnancy or Medical Reasons: Some individuals choose NOLO wines due to pregnancy, medication, or other health conditions that preclude alcohol consumption.

  • Religious or Personal Beliefs: Abstaining from alcohol aligns with the religious or personal values of some consumers.

  • Designated Driving: Choosing non-alcoholic options allows individuals to be the designated driver without feeling excluded from social drinking.

  • Avoiding Hangovers: NOLO wines eliminate the risk of hangovers associated with alcohol consumption.

  • Exploring Different Beverage Options: Consumers may simply be looking for variety and new taste experiences beyond traditional alcoholic beverages.

Description of consumers article is referring to:

  • Who are the consumers article refers to from article: The article primarily refers to Millennials and Gen Z consumers, as well as the broader group of health-conscious individuals and those interested in responsible drinking.

  • Who are them: They are generally younger adults who are more mindful of their health and wellness choices compared to previous generations. They are often digitally savvy and influenced by trends around healthy living and moderation.

  • What kind of products they like: They are interested in beverages that align with their health and wellness goals, offer good taste, and allow for social inclusion. They appreciate variety and are open to trying innovative products.

  • What is their age?: Primarily Millennials (roughly ages 26-40 in 2025) and Gen Z (roughly ages 10-25 in 2025).

  • What is their gender?: The article does not specify gender preferences, suggesting broad appeal across genders within these demographic groups.

  • What is their income?: While not explicitly stated, the trend of premiumization suggests that some consumers are willing to pay a comparable price to traditional premium wines for high-quality NOLO options.

  • What is their lifestyle: They tend to lead more health-conscious and socially aware lifestyles. They may be more likely to seek balance and moderation in their consumption habits.

  • What are their category article is referring shopping preferences: They are likely to purchase NOLO wines from supermarkets, specialty retailers, and online. There is also growing interest in finding these options in restaurants and bars.

  • are they low, occasional or frequent category shoppers: As the market grows and NOLO wines become more integrated into social settings, these consumers are likely to be occasional to frequent shoppers of this category, depending on their individual lifestyles and preferences.

  • What are their general shopping preferences-how they shop products, shopping motivations): They may research products online, are likely influenced by health and wellness trends, and appreciate brands that offer quality and align with their values of moderation and inclusivity. Their shopping motivations include finding healthier alternatives, ensuring social participation without alcohol, and enjoying the taste of wine without its effects.

Conclusions: The non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wine market is experiencing robust growth and a transition towards mainstream acceptance, driven by evolving consumer preferences for healthier lifestyles, responsible drinking, and social inclusivity. This trend is supported by technological advancements in production, strategic industry investments, and a strong appeal to younger generations. While regulatory inconsistencies and consumer education remain challenges, the future of NOLO wine appears promising as it carves out a significant and stable position within the global wine industry.

Implications for brands:

  • Invest in Research and Development: Focus on further improving the sensory quality of NOLO wines to more closely resemble their alcoholic counterparts.

  • Innovate with Flavor Profiles: Explore a wider range of varietals and flavor options to cater to diverse consumer tastes.

  • Develop Effective Marketing and Branding: Highlight the health benefits, social inclusivity, and quality of NOLO wines in marketing campaigns.

  • Address Consumer Education: Clearly communicate the value proposition and production costs of NOLO wines to justify pricing.

  • Ensure Regulatory Compliance: Navigate the complex global regulatory landscape for labeling and alcohol content thresholds.

  • Consider Packaging Innovations: Explore alternative packaging formats like cans and sustainable materials to appeal to younger consumers and environmental concerns.

Implication for society:

  • Promotion of Healthier Lifestyles: The growth of the NOLO wine market encourages more moderate alcohol consumption.

  • Greater Social Inclusivity: It provides appealing options for non-drinkers and those abstaining in social settings.

  • Potential Reduction in Alcohol-Related Harm: Increased availability of NOLO options may contribute to a decrease in alcohol-related health and social issues.

  • Shifting Cultural Norms Around Alcohol: The mainstreaming of NOLO wine can contribute to changing perceptions and attitudes towards alcohol consumption.

Implications for consumers:

  • Wider Variety of Choices: Consumers will have access to a greater selection of non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wine options.

  • Opportunities for Healthier Alternatives: NOLO wines provide a way to enjoy the taste of wine with reduced or no alcohol content.

  • Enhanced Social Experiences: Non-drinkers can feel more included in social events where wine is traditionally served.

  • Potential for Premium Pricing: High-quality NOLO wines may come with a higher price tag due to production costs.

Implication for Future:

  • Continued Market Growth and Expansion: The NOLO wine segment is expected to continue its rapid growth globally.

  • Further Technological Advancements: Production methods will likely continue to improve, leading to even higher-quality NOLO wines.

  • Increased Competition Among Brands: More established and new players will likely enter the market.

  • Greater Integration into On-Trade Sector: Restaurants and bars will likely increase their offerings of NOLO wines.

  • Potential for Regulatory Harmonization: There may be efforts to standardize regulations for NOLO wines across different regions.

Consumer Trend: Mindful Wine Consumption: Consumers are increasingly choosing non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wine options as part of a broader trend towards mindful drinking and prioritizing health and wellness.

Consumer Sub Trend: Sophisticated Sobriety: Younger generations are seeking out non-alcoholic beverages, including wine, that offer a similar level of taste and sophistication to their alcoholic counterparts, fitting into their health-conscious lifestyles.

Big Social Trend: The Global Movement Towards Moderation: Worldwide, there's a growing trend of individuals opting for moderation in alcohol consumption or choosing to abstain altogether for various health, social, and personal reasons.

Worldwide Social Trend: Rising Popularity of NOLO Beverages: The increasing demand for non-alcoholic and low-alcohol beverages is a global phenomenon spanning various categories, with wine being a significant part of this trend.

Social Drive: Seeking Health, Inclusivity, and Enjoyment Without Intoxication: Consumers are motivated by the desire to maintain their health, feel included in social settings, and enjoy the taste of wine without the effects of alcohol.

Learnings for brands to use in 2025:

  • Focus on Quality and Taste Parity: Strive to create NOLO wines that closely match the flavor and aroma profiles of traditional wines to satisfy consumer expectations.

  • Highlight Health and Wellness Attributes Clearly: Emphasize the reduced or absent alcohol content and potential health benefits in marketing materials.

  • Promote Social Inclusivity and Versatility: Position NOLO wines as suitable for a wide range of occasions and for everyone, regardless of their alcohol consumption choices.

  • Invest in Appealing and Informative Packaging: Use packaging that conveys quality and clearly communicates the product benefits.

  • Educate Consumers on the Value Proposition: Address potential price perception issues by explaining the production process and benefits of NOLO wines.

Strategy Recommendations for brands to follow in 2025:

  • Expand NOLO Wine Product Lines: Offer a wider variety of non-alcoholic and low-alcohol options across different varietals and styles.

  • Strengthen Distribution Channels: Increase the availability of NOLO wines in supermarkets, specialty stores, e-commerce platforms, and on-premise locations.

  • Engage in Targeted Marketing Campaigns: Reach health-conscious consumers, younger demographics, and those seeking inclusive beverage options through tailored marketing.

  • Collaborate with Influencers and Tastemakers: Partner with individuals who promote mindful drinking and healthy lifestyles to raise awareness and credibility.

  • Advocate for Clear and Consistent Regulations: Work with industry bodies to push for standardized regulations in the NOLO wine market to facilitate international trade and consumer understanding.

Final sentence (key concept) describing main trend from article (which is a summary of all trends specified), and what brands & companies should do in 2025 to benefit from trend and how to do it.

The central theme is the Global Shift Towards Mainstream NOLO Wine Consumption, and to capitalize on this in 2025, brands and companies must prioritize enhancing the sensory quality of their non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wine offerings, effectively communicate their health benefits and inclusivity, and strategically expand their distribution to meet the growing demand from health-conscious consumers and younger generations seeking sophisticated alternatives.

Final Note:

  • Core Trend: NOLO Wine's Mainstream Ascent: Non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wines are rapidly becoming a significant part of the global wine market.

  • Core Strategy: Enhance Quality and Expand Reach: Brands should focus on improving the taste and increasing the availability of their NOLO wine products.

  • Core Industry Trend: Beverage Industry Diversification: The beverage sector is increasingly diversifying its offerings to include more non-alcoholic and low-alcohol options.

  • Core Consumer Motivation: Seeking Health, Inclusivity, and Taste Without Alcohol: Consumers are driven by wellness, social participation, and the desire for the flavor of wine without its effects. Final Conclusion

Core Trend Detailed: The core trend details the significant movement of non-alcoholic and low-alcohol (NOLO) wines from a peripheral niche to a recognized and growing segment within the global wine industry. This transformation is characterized by increasing consumer acceptance, driven by a heightened awareness of health and wellness, a desire for responsible drinking habits, and a demand for inclusive beverage options in social settings. Technological advancements in production are enabling the creation of NOLO wines with improved sensory profiles, attracting both established wine drinkers and new consumers seeking alternatives. This trend reflects a broader societal shift towards moderation and healthier lifestyles, positioning NOLO wine as a key player in the future of the wine market.

Key Characteristics of the Core trend:

  • Rapid Market Growth: The NOLO wine sector is experiencing substantial revenue growth and strong future projections.

  • Technological Innovation in Production: Advanced methods are used to remove alcohol while retaining flavor and aroma.

  • Strong Appeal to Younger Demographics: Millennials and Gen Z are key consumer groups driving the demand.

  • Growing Availability Across Channels: NOLO wines are increasingly found in retail, e-commerce, and on-premise locations.

  • Focus on Premiumization: High-quality, higher-priced NOLO wines are gaining traction.

Market and Cultural Signals Supporting the Trend:

  • Increasing Consumer Interest in Health and Wellness: This is a major underlying factor driving the demand for NOLO beverages.

  • Shifting Social Norms Around Alcohol Consumption: Moderation and non-drinking are becoming more accepted and even preferred in some circles.

  • Investment and Entry of Major Beverage Companies: This validates the market potential and brings resources for further growth.

  • Positive Media Coverage and Consumer Awareness: Increased visibility in media and online platforms is raising awareness and interest.

  • Availability of More Varietals and Styles: The range of NOLO wine options is expanding beyond basic sparkling wines.

How the Trend Is Changing Consumer Behavior:

  • More Openness to Nonalcoholic Options: Consumers are more willing to consider and try NOLO wines.

  • Integrating NOLO Wines into Social Occasions: These beverages are becoming a standard offering at parties and gatherings.

  • Seeking out NOLO Wines in Restaurants and Bars: Consumers are expecting to see non-alcoholic wine options on menus.

  • Making More Conscious Choices About Alcohol Consumption: NOLO wines provide a viable alternative for those looking to reduce their intake.

  • Viewing NOLO Wines as a Sophisticated Choice: The stigma around non-alcoholic drinks is decreasing, with NOLO wines now seen as a refined option.

Implications Across the Ecosystem:

  • For Brands and CPGs: Significant opportunity for growth and innovation in the NOLO wine category. Need to invest in quality and marketing.

  • For Retailers: Important to allocate sufficient shelf space and promote NOLO wine options to meet consumer demand.

  • For Consumers: Greater choice and access to beverages that align with health goals and social needs.

  • For Regulatory Bodies: Need to establish clear and consistent regulations for NOLO wine production and labeling.

Strategic Forecast:

  • The NOLO wine market will continue to expand rapidly in the coming years.

  • Quality and flavor profiles will continue to improve, narrowing the gap with traditional wines.

  • New product innovations and categories within NOLO wine are likely to emerge.

  • Consumer education and awareness will play a crucial role in further driving adoption.

  • Sustainability in production and packaging will become increasingly important for NOLO wine brands.

Final Thought (summary):

The growing prevalence and mainstream acceptance of non-alcoholic and low-alcohol wines mark a significant evolution in the global beverage landscape, driven by a confluence of health trends, changing social norms, and technological advancements, signaling a future where consumers have an increasingly diverse and appealing range of options to enjoy the ritual and taste of wine without the effects of alcohol.

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