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Insight of the Day: Chocolate is on its way out. Why Halloween is about gummy candy now

Findings: Halloween 2024 will see a shift from chocolate-heavy treats to more fruity, chewy, and sour confections due to rising cocoa prices and changing consumer preferences. Confectionary companies are introducing new, lower-cost offerings like gummy and sour candies to appeal to younger generations, particularly Millennials and Gen Z.

Key Takeaway: Rising cocoa prices, paired with the growing popularity of fruity and sour treats, are reshaping the Halloween candy landscape. While chocolate remains a staple, its sales are slowing as non-chocolate candies become more prominent due to their affordability and variety.

Trend: The shift from chocolate to fruity, sour, and chewy candies is driven by rising cocoa prices and changing consumer tastes, with new products like Twizzlers Ghosts and Sour Patch Kids Apple Harvest becoming more popular in 2024.

Consumer Motivation: Consumers, particularly teens and those in their 40s, are opting for cheaper and more varied candy options. Financial concerns are driving more purchases of non-chocolate sweets, as they offer greater affordability and new flavor experiences.

What is Driving the Trend:

  • Rising cocoa prices (up 91% since January 2022) leading to more cost-conscious decisions.

  • Growing popularity of sour, fruity, and chewy candies, particularly among younger generations.

  • Retailers and manufacturers introducing more innovation in non-chocolate candies to attract buyers.

Who Are the People: The article refers to consumers, particularly Millennials, Gen Z, and middle-aged adults, who are shifting their purchasing habits toward cheaper, fruity, and chewy candies due to economic constraints and changing preferences.

Description of Consumers, Product, or Service: Consumers are those seeking affordable, fun, and varied candy options for Halloween. The article highlights younger consumers (teens to mid-40s) who are driving the demand for non-chocolate, sour, and fruity candies.

Conclusions: As cocoa prices rise, the industry is shifting toward more affordable non-chocolate candies, with manufacturers focusing on new flavors, shapes, and combinations. Retailers are driving interest in these new offerings to maintain consumer engagement, while traditional chocolate treats are experiencing reduced sales.

Implications for Brands: Brands should focus on innovating within the non-chocolate candy space, offering new, exciting flavors and products at competitive prices. Diversifying candy offerings with fewer cocoa-based ingredients is essential to offset rising costs and appeal to a more price-sensitive consumer base.

Implications for Society: This shift reflects broader economic pressures on consumers, with price increases influencing spending behavior. Halloween, traditionally a time for indulgence, is now shaped by financial considerations as shoppers prioritize affordability.

Implications for Consumers: Consumers will encounter more fruity, sour, and chewy candies, with fewer pure chocolate options as prices rise. Shrinkflation and smaller candy packs may also become more common, leading to less value for money.

Implications for the Future: As cocoa prices continue to rise, we can expect more innovation in non-chocolate confections and potential reductions in the size and quantity of chocolate-based products. This trend may extend beyond Halloween, impacting candy consumption year-round.

Consumer Trend: Growing demand for sour, fruity, and chewy candies, driven by affordability and changing tastes, especially among Millennials and Gen Z.

Consumer Sub Trend: Innovation in non-chocolate candy, with new flavors and shapes being introduced to capture market interest and maintain relevance.

Big Social Trend: Economic constraints reshaping consumer spending habits, leading to an emphasis on affordability and variety in everyday treats like candy.

Local Trend: The rise in fruity and sour candy options in Halloween retail displays, driven by the need for lower-cost alternatives to chocolate treats.

Worldwide Social Trend: Global shortages of cocoa and rising production costs influencing the shift toward non-chocolate candy options, particularly in economically challenging times.

Name of the Big Trend Implied by Article: "Affordable Indulgence in Non-Chocolate Treats"

Name of Big Social Trend Implied by Article: "Economic-Driven Candy Innovation"

Social Drive: The rise in prices and economic challenges are driving a shift toward more affordable, non-chocolate candy options, reflecting a growing need for affordable indulgence during traditionally festive times like Halloween.

Strategy Recommendations for Companies in 2025:

  1. Focus on Non-Chocolate Innovation: Companies should continue to innovate in the non-chocolate candy space, introducing new flavors and fun shapes to attract younger generations and price-sensitive consumers.

  2. Diversify Product Offerings: Develop chocolate products with lower cocoa content, incorporating more nuts, fruits, or other ingredients to reduce costs and maintain appeal.

  3. Engage Consumers with Fun Packaging: Create playful, limited-edition Halloween-themed packaging and products to encourage trial and increase shelf visibility.

  4. Emphasize Value: As prices rise, brands should offer multi-packs or variety bundles to ensure consumers feel they are getting value for their money.

Final Sentence (Key Concept): In 2025, brands should embrace the trend of "Affordable Indulgence in Non-Chocolate Treats" by focusing on innovation in sour and fruity candies, while offering more value-oriented packaging and alternative chocolate products to cater to financially conscious consumers.

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